Tennis · resolved market
San Luis Potosi: Theodore Winegar vs Rodrigo Alujas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x499da891a9a043598e2cbf091b3bb3fd40e32042dcd9be826e3511ea9a88408a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rodrigo Alujasof Theodore Winegar, Rodrigo Alujas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Theodore Winegar | 29c | 16,542$4,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,842.35 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Theodore Winegar | 15c | 2,153$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.07 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rodrigo Alujas | 58c | 1,921$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.81 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Theodore Winegar | 19c | 1,559$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.68 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Theodore Winegar | 16c | 1,458$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.25 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Theodore Winegar | 8c | 1,318$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.61 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Theodore Winegar | 38c | 494.35$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.85 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Rodrigo Alujas | 55c | 486.5$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.92 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +205.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Rodrigo Alujas | 56c | 357.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 139 | 58.3%81 W · 58 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Rodrigo Alujas | 69c | 340.21$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.2 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Theodore Winegar | 45c | 322.33$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.05 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rodrigo Alujas | 71c | 315.7$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.88 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1998…be8cbacked Theodore Winegar | 10c | 260.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5788…fb06backed Rodrigo Alujas | 62c | 235.63$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +282.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Rodrigo Alujas | 75c | 233.5$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.67 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Theodore Winegar | 44c | 214.54$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.68 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Rodrigo Alujas | 57c | 205.21$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.26 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Rodrigo Alujas | 61c | 201.24$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.18 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Rodrigo Alujas | 67c | 185.17$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Theodore Winegar | 26c | 185.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Theodore Winegar | 43c | 159.36$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.19 | 196 | 34.2%67 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Rodrigo Alujas | 68c | 144.28$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 351 | 64.1%225 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Rodrigo Alujas | 56c | 138.24$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2257…eb1bbacked Rodrigo Alujas | 74c | 135.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Theodore Winegar | 27c | 131.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Rodrigo Alujas | 69c | 124.87$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Rodrigo Alujas | 68c | 124.24$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…39eabacked Rodrigo Alujas | 57c | 107.09$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Rodrigo Alujas | 57c | 102.55$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 468 | 48.5%227 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Rodrigo Alujas | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c84…ac9abacked Rodrigo Alujas | 58c | 94.48$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8035…f36dbacked Theodore Winegar | 18c | 93.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Rodrigo Alujas | 72c | 80.35$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…adddbacked Rodrigo Alujas | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 153 | 74.5%114 W · 39 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a2…7a1fbacked Rodrigo Alujas | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 184 | 78.8%145 W · 39 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…3f92backed Rodrigo Alujas | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 224 | 82.6%185 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 80cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rodrigo Alujas | 57c | 59.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Theodore Winegar | 24c | 57.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 180 | 20.6%37 W · 143 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Rodrigo Alujas | 58c | 57.51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Rodrigo Alujas | 57c | 54.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 502 | 59%296 W · 206 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…254abacked Rodrigo Alujas | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Rodrigo Alujas | 58c | 49.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 228 | 47.4%108 W · 120 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rodrigo Alujas | 73c | 49.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Rodrigo Alujas | 56c | 46.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Rodrigo Alujas | 64c | 39.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 474 | 53.2%252 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…626dbacked Theodore Winegar | 38c | 38.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 279 | 36.2%101 W · 178 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Theodore Winegar | 44c | 37.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Rodrigo Alujas | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…8b08backed Rodrigo Alujas | 80c | 29.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 252 | 65.1%164 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Theodore Winegar | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Rodrigo Alujas | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Rodrigo Alujas | 61c | 25.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 308 | 53.6%165 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…2c9bbacked Rodrigo Alujas | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 177 | 61%108 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.