Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49b6a7310113ece3bd5ae8ff92a5e2b57fe03bf4e67e3926658f78cc73a87485
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corp GCof Karmine Corp GC, ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Karmine Corp GC | 75c | 6,419$4,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.6 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 31c | 2,212$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.16 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 31c | 1,518$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.44 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.68 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 30c | 281.81$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.76 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 31c | 265.04$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Karmine Corp GC | 69c | 223.04$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 34c | 184.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Karmine Corp GC | 70c | 160$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 32c | 126.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Karmine Corp GC | 70c | 75.1$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 30c | 72.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…203fbacked Karmine Corp GC | 70c | 58.57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked Karmine Corp GC | 66c | 57.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 32c | 49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa692…2ccabacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4c26backed Karmine Corp GC | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Karmine Corp GC | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeae…17c7backed Karmine Corp GC | 66c | 16.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.