Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49d0981380c3f380be1f64a4a6077a0f96fca3bdee8082127b01fa9f7a8334a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 14c | 1,820$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.51 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 43c | 1,084$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.31 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 28c | 889.36$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.54 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 69c | 552.27$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.98 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.38 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 14c | 299.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.94 | 264 | 17.8%47 W · 217 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 15c | 272.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.74 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 72c | 184.44$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 12c | 167.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 48c | 136.75$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Yes | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 45c | 79.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Yes | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…dc21backed No | 42c | 43.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +46%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 45c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked No | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870b…3572backed Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 54c | 20.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zirə FK vs. Paide Linnameeskond end in a draw?this page
- Will Paide Linnameeskond win on 2026-07-30?No won
- Will Zirə FK win on 2026-07-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.