Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Supernova - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49e731dd689d19bd5818c3ad8b2651527e159bcc404b60f7e3168d5fe9b5aa71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Supernovaof Dorado Gaming, Supernova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Supernova | 71c | 978.22$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Dorado Gaming | 34c | 889.93$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Dorado Gaming | 13c | 779.21$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.91 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Dorado Gaming | 5c | 683.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 661 | 16.5%109 W · 552 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec0…5ff3backed Dorado Gaming | 15c | 679.86$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Dorado Gaming | 22c | 492.74$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb845…ca23backed Dorado Gaming | 9c | 450$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Dorado Gaming | 4c | 407.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Dorado Gaming | 13c | 360$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 398 | 32.7%130 W · 268 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Supernova | 69c | 290.81$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.15 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Dorado Gaming | 6c | 243.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Dorado Gaming | 29c | 241.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Supernova | 74c | 141.01$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Supernova | 71c | 136.12$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78e4…4f28backed Dorado Gaming | 8c | 126$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 246 | 55.3%136 W · 110 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed Dorado Gaming | 38c | 117.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 396 | 63.4%251 W · 145 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…3d79backed Supernova | 62c | 108.83$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…fa45backed Supernova | 72c | 101.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…21a7backed Supernova | 70c | 93.29$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Dorado Gaming | 27c | 69.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Supernova | 71c | 62.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 350 | 48%168 W · 182 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Supernova | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Dorado Gaming | 33c | 42.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 618 | 49.8%308 W · 310 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Supernova | 72c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 548 | 24.3%133 W · 415 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Supernova | 60c | 30.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Supernova - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: SN (-1.5) vs Dorado Gaming (+1.5)Dorado Gaming won
- LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Supernova (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonSupernova won
- LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Supernova - Game 1 WinnerDorado Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.