Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Supernova - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb9c772074229a9e196c1292c88ec6a15eac9108c991c8df80134905eae16212
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dorado Gamingof Dorado Gaming, Supernova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb845…ca23backed Supernova | 10c | 5,888$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.02 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Supernova | 5c | 2,357$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Dorado Gaming | 46c | 1,211$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.96 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Dorado Gaming | 29c | 1,021$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.67 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…960fbacked Supernova | 72c | 839.99$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601 | 474 | 53.4%253 W · 221 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Supernova | 21c | 710.61$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.22 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Supernova | 75c | 654.4$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.8 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed Supernova | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 353 | 46.7%165 W · 188 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Dorado Gaming | 29c | 544.83$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.83 | 553 | 47%260 W · 293 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…3d79backed Dorado Gaming | 37c | 504.56$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.04 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Supernova | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Dorado Gaming | 33c | 461.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.5 | 436 | 42.4%185 W · 251 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Supernova | 50c | 429.05$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.52 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Supernova | 72c | 400$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Supernova | 60c | 301.32$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.1 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Dorado Gaming | 25c | 261.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.23 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed Supernova | 60c | 259.49$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.54 | 396 | 63.4%251 W · 145 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed Supernova | 62c | 235.25$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.46 | 237 | 48.5%115 W · 122 L | -15.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Dorado Gaming | 57c | 220.63$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.75 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Dorado Gaming | 25c | 208.76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.57 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Dorado Gaming | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 331 | 25.7%85 W · 246 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Dorado Gaming | 22c | 198.53$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.85 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dorado Gaming | 36c | 187.58$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.61 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d7…dacfbacked Dorado Gaming | 79c | 183.2$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 289 | 65.1%188 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x109b…935fbacked Supernova | 71c | 170.34$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.61 | 282 | 61%172 W · 110 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Dorado Gaming | 55c | 164.25$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Dorado Gaming | 25c | 140$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Dorado Gaming | 76c | 130.18$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Supernova | 23c | 130$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 548 | 24.3%133 W · 415 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…fa45backed Supernova | 70c | 122.86$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…65dabacked Supernova | 21c | 119.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…527ebacked Dorado Gaming | 76c | 119.07$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 625 | 58.7%367 W · 258 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2b…19a4backed Supernova | 49c | 109.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Dorado Gaming | 28c | 108$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Dorado Gaming | 68c | 105$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Supernova | 20c | 103.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Supernova | 58c | 93.24$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Supernova | 50c | 92.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 618 | 49.8%308 W · 310 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Supernova | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 381 | 54.3%207 W · 174 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Dorado Gaming | 55c | 83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 126 | 61.9%78 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Supernova | 41c | 76.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 373 | 42.9%160 W · 213 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Dorado Gaming | 57c | 75.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Dorado Gaming | 30c | 69.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…a4cdbacked Supernova | 19c | 69.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 710 | 57%405 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Supernova | 78c | 63.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Dorado Gaming | 44c | 60.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3306…d7d0backed Supernova | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…0b44backed Supernova | 23c | 44.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 424 | 55%233 W · 191 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Supernova | 57c | 42.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x337e…9b4ebacked Dorado Gaming | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 325 | 54.8%178 W · 147 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked Supernova | 78c | 38.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 461 | 54.9%253 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Dorado Gaming | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…9e5fbacked Dorado Gaming | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 228 | 63.2%144 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Supernova | 78c | 34.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 134 | 73.9%99 W · 35 L | +13.8wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…a5d4backed Supernova | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93cc…0481backed Supernova | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Supernova | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 722 | 34.1%246 W · 476 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked Supernova | 78c | 17.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Supernova | 59c | 17.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 229 | 55.5%127 W · 102 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Supernova - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: SN (-1.5) vs Dorado Gaming (+1.5)Dorado Gaming won
- LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Supernova (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonSupernova won
- LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Supernova - Game 2 WinnerSupernova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.