Tennis · resolved market
Centurion 2: Dominik Palan vs Alec Beckley
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a3173239fabbd861b12547e56c2018a9acab155e9a79f2d30833a9ca821f9f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alec Beckleyof Dominik Palan, Alec Beckley
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb946…2671backed Dominik Palan | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Alec Beckley | 62c | 1,129$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.03 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Alec Beckley | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Alec Beckley | 62c | 774.18$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.19 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dominik Palan | 14c | 726.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Dominik Palan | 13c | 596.88$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.15 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Dominik Palan | 37c | 579.29$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.87 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Alec Beckley | 63c | 539.93$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.77 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Dominik Palan | 24c | 530.37$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.81 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Dominik Palan | 37c | 526.32$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.74 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Dominik Palan | 36c | 390.72$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.66 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Alec Beckley | 64c | 341.03$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.77 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Dominik Palan | 8c | 328.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Alec Beckley | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Alec Beckley | 63c | 235.13$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Dominik Palan | 38c | 200.17$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce5c…a409backed Dominik Palan | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Dominik Palan | 38c | 151.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Alec Beckley | 62c | 145.17$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Dominik Palan | 37c | 135.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Alec Beckley | 58c | 106.16$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Alec Beckley | 59c | 85.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Alec Beckley | 62c | 84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dominik Palan | 19c | 78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Dominik Palan | 38c | 73.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Dominik Palan | 35c | 61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dominik Palan | 17c | 59.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Dominik Palan | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Dominik Palan | 39c | 33.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Alec Beckley | 64c | 33.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…9a00backed Alec Beckley | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 201 | 58.7%118 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Dominik Palan | 38c | 32.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Alec Beckley | 62c | 32.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…26fbbacked Alec Beckley | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 163 | 58.9%96 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Alec Beckley | 69c | 30.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Dominik Palan | 39c | 26.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Alec Beckley | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.