Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Utah Utes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a7846ae8d2be8ba0b0be01076feeecc0263e45fd16f6f2496c044e6a9c160c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona State Sun Devilsof Arizona State Sun Devils, Utah Utes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 50c | 13,637$6,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,866.94 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Utah Utes | 50c | 4,806$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Utah Utes | 50c | 3,556$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.52 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 68c | 2,535$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.16 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Utah Utes | 27c | 1,781$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.89 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Utah Utes | 53c | 1,501$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.35 | 188 | 46.8%88 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Utah Utes | 8c | 1,289$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.58 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Utah Utes | 3c | 815.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Utah Utes | 4c | 814.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Utah Utes | 35c | 798.91$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.46 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Utah Utes | 27c | 721.45$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.03 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Utah Utes | 51c | 488.97$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.38 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Utah Utes | 55c | 458.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Utah Utes | 52c | 457.43$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.86 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 46c | 265.84$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.16 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Utah Utes | 50c | 249.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.24 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 52c | 249$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.52 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 48c | 183$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.16 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Utah Utes | 51c | 133$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Utah Utes | 51c | 129.32$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 48c | 116$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Utah Utes | 50c | 109.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…c496backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5086…5080backed Utah Utes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 51c | 96.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Utah Utes | 17c | 92.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Utah Utes | 34c | 90.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 80c | 88.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 68c | 83$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Utah Utes | 33c | 82.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bad…aa78backed Utah Utes | 52c | 66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked Utah Utes | 48c | 60.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Utah Utes | 20c | 59.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 77c | 53.74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 47c | 50.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 57c | 43.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 49c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Utah Utes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 65c | 35.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Utah Utes | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Utah Utes | 52c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed Utah Utes | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…0faabacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Utah Utes | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Utah Utes | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e9…9d74backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 49c | 29.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Utah Utes | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked Utah Utes | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Utah Utes | 50c | 27.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Utah Utes | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Utah Utes | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Utah Utes | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.