CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a9d2509aa0b6e97bf1984bae2381b974cdf73ff5a3bc0b0326e0d86e7d050f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- INOX Divisionof INOX Division, ex-RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa80c…5a6dbacked INOX Division | 65c | 3,176$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.05 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed ex-RUSTEC | 36c | 2,291$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.82 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed INOX Division | 77c | 1,076$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.01 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed ex-RUSTEC | 56c | 851.52$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.65 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed INOX Division | 51c | 791.66$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.7 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed INOX Division | 47c | 749.97$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.49 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed ex-RUSTEC | 33c | 712.19$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.02 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed ex-RUSTEC | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed ex-RUSTEC | 34c | 596.93$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked ex-RUSTEC | 49c | 499.3$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.48 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed ex-RUSTEC | 59c | 478.48$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.58 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked INOX Division | 40c | 370.51$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.18 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUSTEC | 41c | 328.68$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.27 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked INOX Division | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 34c | 294.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked INOX Division | 59c | 280.03$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.28 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked INOX Division | 59c | 255.07$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.53 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ex-RUSTEC | 43c | 250.6$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.75 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-RUSTEC | 50c | 189.77$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.02 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 43c | 179.07$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-RUSTEC | 39c | 166.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.36 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUSTEC | 40c | 165.12$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.84 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed INOX Division | 68c | 154.95$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed INOX Division | 62c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked INOX Division | 61c | 147$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.47 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked INOX Division | 66c | 114.09$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked INOX Division | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac33…fda0backed INOX Division | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed ex-RUSTEC | 38c | 71.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…d61bbacked INOX Division | 77c | 67.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed ex-RUSTEC | 33c | 64.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed INOX Division | 32c | 62.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa5…a94abacked ex-RUSTEC | 46c | 50.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…ea61backed INOX Division | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 130 | 63.1%82 W · 48 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…bbd3backed ex-RUSTEC | 34c | 48.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3f…6816backed ex-RUSTEC | 34c | 48.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed ex-RUSTEC | 50c | 45.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed INOX Division | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 42c | 35.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed ex-RUSTEC | 41c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked INOX Division | 40c | 33.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked INOX Division | 39c | 33.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked ex-RUSTEC | 48c | 32.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked INOX Division | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 271 | 50.6%137 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…2968backed INOX Division | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…d26dbacked INOX Division | 50c | 26.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked INOX Division | 60c | 16.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group StageINOX Division won
- Map Handicap: INOX (-1.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+1.5)ex-RUSTEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.