CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Just Players - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ad0495dc35e41c6d08b0e2c0178deeb2fa0d5ae46b287d802c6451f50e48708
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Black Phoenixof Black Phoenix, Just Players
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Just Players | 26c | 4,920$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.32 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Black Phoenix | 74c | 2,402$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.24 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Black Phoenix | 64c | 1,284$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.22 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Black Phoenix | 78c | 1,058$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.39 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Just Players | 36c | 704.86$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.77 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Just Players | 60c | 413.93$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.91 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Just Players | 32c | 339.89$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.1 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…b542backed Black Phoenix | 76c | 286$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Black Phoenix | 40c | 279$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.4 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…3eb8backed Just Players | 74c | 239.59$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Just Players | 19c | 216.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Just Players | 24c | 187.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Black Phoenix | 75c | 173.38$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.22 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Black Phoenix | 67c | 134.93$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Just Players | 21c | 133.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0010…c3a8backed Black Phoenix | 79c | 125.04$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 316 | 73.7%233 W · 83 L | +23.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Black Phoenix | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.63 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Black Phoenix | 76c | 97$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Black Phoenix | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Just Players | 18c | 67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Black Phoenix | 40c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Black Phoenix | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Black Phoenix | 59c | 26.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Black Phoenix | 57c | 24.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Just Players | 59c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 217 | 55.8%121 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Just Players | 69c | 14.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Just Players - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group StageBlack Phoenix won
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Just Players - Map 2 WinnerBlack Phoenix won
- Map Handicap: JustP (-1.5) vs Black Phoenix (+1.5)Black Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.