CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Just Players - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe287889a9085e1d83f6d06371d3884b09d117c5f447a920a7590dc84d9135c64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Black Phoenixof Black Phoenix, Just Players
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Just Players | 39c | 5,122$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Black Phoenix | 63c | 2,439$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.16 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Black Phoenix | 55c | 1,611$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.95 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Black Phoenix | 59c | 1,209$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.77 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Just Players | 44c | 1,000$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.38 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Black Phoenix | 58c | 960.91$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.5 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…b542backed Black Phoenix | 58c | 395$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.9 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Black Phoenix | 69c | 373.32$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.89 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Just Players | 40c | 293.12$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.92 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Black Phoenix | 69c | 220.08$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.58 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Black Phoenix | 58c | 210.2$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.76 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Black Phoenix | 61c | 206$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.45 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Black Phoenix | 58c | 203.23$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.28 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…18ffbacked Just Players | 51c | 147.08$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Just Players | 46c | 128.03$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Black Phoenix | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.27 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Black Phoenix | 60c | 111.64$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Black Phoenix | 67c | 109.6$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Just Players | 43c | 106.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Black Phoenix | 70c | 105$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Black Phoenix | 57c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Black Phoenix | 58c | 63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Black Phoenix | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 284 | 54.9%156 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Black Phoenix | 59c | 56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Black Phoenix | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Black Phoenix | 58c | 49.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked Black Phoenix | 63c | 45.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Black Phoenix | 53c | 39.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed Just Players | 45c | 39.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Just Players | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Just Players | 47c | 21.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 217 | 55.8%121 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Just Players | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…d538backed Black Phoenix | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Just Players - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group StageBlack Phoenix won
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Just Players - Map 1 WinnerBlack Phoenix won
- Map Handicap: JustP (-1.5) vs Black Phoenix (+1.5)Black Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.