Euroleague · resolved market
Forca Lleida CE vs. Gran Canaria
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ad175ce26bfbc9dc1e0b8ae70dfe11d9163a87962948ae2fa770bfc1061290b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Forca Lleida CEof Forca Lleida CE, Gran Canaria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5763…0f56backed Gran Canaria | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…0b7cbacked Forca Lleida CE | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Forca Lleida CE | 66c | 4,534$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.56 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Gran Canaria | 22c | 3,506$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.3 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2768…2e81backed Gran Canaria | 48c | 2,200$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Gran Canaria | 46c | 1,478$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.51 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Gran Canaria | 9c | 1,200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.94 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Gran Canaria | 48c | 1,185$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.44 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Forca Lleida CE | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Gran Canaria | 17c | 995.77$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.09 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Gran Canaria | 30c | 968.28$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.35 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Forca Lleida CE | 48c | 661.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.16 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed Forca Lleida CE | 67c | 634.2$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.3 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Forca Lleida CE | 53c | 570.9$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.48 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79d7…893dbacked Gran Canaria | 47c | 528.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Forca Lleida CE | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Forca Lleida CE | 52c | 468.78$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.25 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Forca Lleida CE | 51c | 392.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.15 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Gran Canaria | 34c | 381$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.06 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Gran Canaria | 15c | 321$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gran Canaria | 33c | 307.62$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.83 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Gran Canaria | 36c | 293.46$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.41 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Gran Canaria | 35c | 254$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.03 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Gran Canaria | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…3c52backed Gran Canaria | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Forca Lleida CE | 51c | 214.42$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.3 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Gran Canaria | 51c | 210.85$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.52 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Forca Lleida CE | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Forca Lleida CE | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Forca Lleida CE | 52c | 181.25$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.36 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Gran Canaria | 49c | 157.74$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.29 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Forca Lleida CE | 53c | 154.27$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.51 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Forca Lleida CE | 55c | 142.95$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.96 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Gran Canaria | 35c | 142.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Forca Lleida CE | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Gran Canaria | 47c | 100.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Gran Canaria | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Forca Lleida CE | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Forca Lleida CE | 54c | 88.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…8597backed Forca Lleida CE | 69c | 79.48$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Forca Lleida CE | 49c | 78.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Gran Canaria | 29c | 78.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f76…1688backed Gran Canaria | 38c | 65.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Forca Lleida CE | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Forca Lleida CE | 52c | 56.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Gran Canaria | 26c | 50.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…b8e0backed Forca Lleida CE | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Forca Lleida CE | 51c | 46.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Forca Lleida CE | 54c | 44.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Forca Lleida CE | 51c | 37.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Forca Lleida CE | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Gran Canaria | 36c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Forca Lleida CE | 51c | 26.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…722ebacked Gran Canaria | 50c | 25.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1c…a0a2backed Forca Lleida CE | 50c | 25.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Forca Lleida CE | 53c | 22.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0263…dd37backed Forca Lleida CE | 50c | 21.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1e…0ddfbacked Gran Canaria | 50c | 21.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Forca Lleida CE | 54c | 21.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d38…1b38backed Forca Lleida CE | 50c | 21.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…96c3backed Gran Canaria | 50c | 21.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Forca Lleida CE | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Forca Lleida CE | 53c | 19.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Gran Canaria | 65c | 16.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.