South American Leagues · resolved market
Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4aea4199f2312c8cb5e4c5c419cd47234b66d7360ec1224e20ed58cafc018a6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 1,008$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.99 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…cba6backed Over | 43c | 583.99$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.54 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 37c | 395$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.15 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…5f43backed Over | 20c | 350$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 65c | 309.82$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.44 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 57c | 246$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.78 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 57c | 186.37$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.95 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 58c | 172.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 57c | 165.73$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.69 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Under | 66c | 131.56$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 67c | 105.62$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Over | 42c | 100.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 36c | 64.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…a25dbacked Under | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2912…6817backed Under | 59c | 56.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 42c | 56.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 57c | 50.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 41c | 49.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 58c | 36.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 74c | 20.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 2.5this page
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Independiente Medellín: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 0.5Over won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 1.5Under won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Estudiantes de La Plata (-1.5)Independiente Medellín won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.