South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Estudiantes de La Plata (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8de4a89e2e56308f52e010bb90d1973eeb9acd49ecddf764984005f87a3a79f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Independiente Medellínof Estudiantes de La Plata, Independiente Medellín
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe36a…ae58backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 0c | 15,330$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Independiente Medellín | 70c | 2,988$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.67 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Independiente Medellín | 69c | 1,000$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.25 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 30c | 965$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.5 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 30c | 472.23$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.03 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 31c | 375$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.25 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 30c | 372.65$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Estudiantes de La Plata | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 109 | 22%24 W · 85 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Estudiantes de La Plata | 30c | 291.75$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.52 | 124 | 14.5%18 W · 106 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Estudiantes de La Plata | 31c | 290$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 30c | 279.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Independiente Medellín | 70c | 276.9$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.07 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 31c | 267.7$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.19 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Independiente Medellín | 75c | 254.24$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.65 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Independiente Medellín | 69c | 160.25$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Estudiantes de La Plata | 34c | 150.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Independiente Medellín | 70c | 123.9$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 30c | 116.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 30c | 114.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Estudiantes de La Plata | 31c | 104.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Estudiantes de La Plata | 15c | 97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 34c | 93.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…b5c9backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Independiente Medellín | 69c | 64.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Independiente Medellín | 66c | 64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Independiente Medellín | 69c | 61.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Independiente Medellín | 69c | 61.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Independiente Medellín | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Estudiantes de La Plata | 28c | 55.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 35c | 54.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Independiente Medellín | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…3893backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 35c | 42.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Independiente Medellín | 66c | 39.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Independiente Medellín | 73c | 39.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Estudiantes de La Plata | 31c | 38.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Independiente Medellín | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Independiente Medellín | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Independiente Medellín | 66c | 24.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Independiente Medellín | 70c | 18.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Independiente Medellín | 70c | 18.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Independiente Medellín | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Estudiantes de La Plata (-1.5)this page
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Independiente Medellín: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 0.5Over won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 1.5Under won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 2.5Under won
- Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.