CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs eternal premium - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4af6974d338de8d44ba07a1521900bedc54272963795bdaa07a7c85095bfaa8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- eternal premiumof Misa Esports, eternal premium
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3e4…8087backed Misa Esports | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -64%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Misa Esports | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Misa Esports | 3c | 654.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 7cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Misa Esports | 9c | 620$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Misa Esports | 9c | 620$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Misa Esports | 5c | 500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked eternal premium | 53c | 458.85$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.66 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Misa Esports | 9c | 444$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a19…86c8backed Misa Esports | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Misa Esports | 7c | 400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 79 | 20.3%16 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56df…22c3backed Misa Esports | 50c | 320$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.2 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Misa Esports | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Misa Esports | 49c | 179.15$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed eternal premium | 27c | 147.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.71 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Misa Esports | 13c | 134.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93fa…26d9backed Misa Esports | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Misa Esports | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked eternal premium | 42c | 89.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Misa Esports | 22c | 88.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf099…d75cbacked Misa Esports | 58c | 85.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Misa Esports | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Misa Esports | 40c | 25.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Misa Esports | 67c | 23.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs eternal premium - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffseternal premium won
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs eternal premium - Map 2 Winnereternal premium won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.