Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UAB Blazers vs. Drake Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4afc36e10e902077452e745c2e6a6067fbc2892f15c3670b8544381bf3a37032
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UAB Blazersof UAB Blazers, Drake Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed UAB Blazers | 68c | 6,186$4,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.7 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UAB Blazers | 42c | 5,007$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.74 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Drake Bulldogs | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Drake Bulldogs | 44c | 3,342$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0931…61dcbacked Drake Bulldogs | 63c | 3,160$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Drake Bulldogs | 34c | 1,900$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed UAB Blazers | 43c | 1,885$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.7 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Drake Bulldogs | 30c | 1,365$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.11 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked UAB Blazers | 43c | 869.56$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked UAB Blazers | 37c | 800$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Drake Bulldogs | 29c | 690$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UAB Blazers | 63c | 493$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.68 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Drake Bulldogs | 55c | 360$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked UAB Blazers | 37c | 323$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.54 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Drake Bulldogs | 36c | 310$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.89 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Drake Bulldogs | 57c | 255$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.35 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UAB Blazers | 38c | 249.69$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.76 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked UAB Blazers | 44c | 200.78$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.78 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked UAB Blazers | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Drake Bulldogs | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Drake Bulldogs | 47c | 143$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Drake Bulldogs | 55c | 138.33$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UAB Blazers | 61c | 130$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked UAB Blazers | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Drake Bulldogs | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Drake Bulldogs | 35c | 70.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked UAB Blazers | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Drake Bulldogs | 54c | 59.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Drake Bulldogs | 55c | 54.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Drake Bulldogs | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Drake Bulldogs | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed UAB Blazers | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Drake Bulldogs | 59c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.