Premier League · resolved market
Sheffield United FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b058c73abc6a7dacf7000d27b681bd238f9cb9d591f73b2fa75f1d4b311904d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0792…b778backed Over | 45c | 9,504$4,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,276.75 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 7,696$3,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,985.41 | 6,217 | 45.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L | -33.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 13c | 7,648$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.55 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 55c | 3,800$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 2,397$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.49 | 4,874 | 41.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 80c | 2,292$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.59 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked Over | 60c | 2,072$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 59c | 683.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 39c | 599.25$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.92 | 1,424 | 44.3%631 W · 793 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 41c | 401.78$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.24 | 1,943 | 42.5%826 W · 1,117 L | -41.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Under | 51c | 336.73$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Over | 49c | 240.82$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d68…fb22backed Over | 66c | 203.41$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 70c | 184.6$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.92 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 46c | 154.35$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Under | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 53c | 132.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 64c | 123.54$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.95 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 71c | 105.63$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 257 | 50.2%129 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 62c | 101.48$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.87 | 892 | 52.9%472 W · 420 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Over | 49c | 95.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 61c | 85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 49c | 82.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Under | 52c | 76.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Over | 30c | 52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…54d2backed Over | 50c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d67…a033backed Over | 62c | 47.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 53c | 47.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 62c | 42.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 160 | 60%96 W · 64 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 50c | 32.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 41c | 31.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 43c | 31.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 71c | 28.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 55c | 27.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 55c | 25.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 57c | 24.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 1,707 | 52.8%902 W · 805 L | +31.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 55c | 22.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 189 | 63%119 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sheffield United FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Sheffield United FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sheffield United FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.