Lol · resolved market
LoL: University of Mississippi vs Contingent Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c14237784ea7290256a417656f10260ef072bb82feca017f5877ea7efafa328
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- University of Mississippiof University of Mississippi, Contingent Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Contingent Esports | 25c | 4,000$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985 | 421 | 49.2%207 W · 214 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked University of Mississippi | 78c | 3,308$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.7 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed University of Mississippi | 80c | 1,723$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.44 | 289 | 48.1%139 W · 150 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked University of Mississippi | 75c | 1,283$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.83 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Contingent Esports | 17c | 1,075$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.71 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked Contingent Esports | 6c | 1,061$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.63 | 505 | 50.7%256 W · 249 L | +34.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Contingent Esports | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…8cc4backed Contingent Esports | 7c | 383.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 411 | 51.1%210 W · 201 L | +19.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Contingent Esports | 18c | 319.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Contingent Esports | 15c | 300.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb46…ed08backed Contingent Esports | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…fff9backed Contingent Esports | 5c | 299.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 551 | 10.3%57 W · 494 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Contingent Esports | 17c | 274.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…dcc3backed Contingent Esports | 28c | 264.49$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…a2cbbacked Contingent Esports | 7c | 214.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 245 | 54.3%133 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Contingent Esports | 25c | 202.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecab…f7ecbacked Contingent Esports | 5c | 200.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 177 | 12.4%22 W · 155 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb039…c6d9backed Contingent Esports | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Contingent Esports | 12c | 190.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Contingent Esports | 11c | 189.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Contingent Esports | 14c | 123.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed University of Mississippi | 76c | 117.93$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -11.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed University of Mississippi | 77c | 87.7$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Contingent Esports | 25c | 85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -13.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Contingent Esports | 16c | 73.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff85…e923backed Contingent Esports | 26c | 71.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -10.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed University of Mississippi | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed University of Mississippi | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: University of Mississippi vs Contingent Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: MISS (-1.5) vs Contingent Esports (+1.5)Contingent Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: University of Mississippi vs Contingent Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group StageContingent Esports won
- LoL: University of Mississippi vs Contingent Esports - Game 2 WinnerContingent Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.