Lol · resolved market
LoL: NRG Esports vs Blue Otter - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c23f68b531cd2dbfcf57fb3fe0e3149644ce624bed87b47fa8eea78cb748e29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRG Esportsof NRG Esports, Blue Otter
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9671…3a70backed Blue Otter | 2c | 8,332$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.84 | 284 | 4.6%13 W · 271 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed Blue Otter | 20c | 2,161$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.36 | 264 | 43.6%115 W · 149 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Blue Otter | 16c | 1,867$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.34 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed NRG Esports | 78c | 546.67$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.2 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked NRG Esports | 77c | 434.78$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 466 | 50.9%237 W · 229 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed Blue Otter | 22c | 433.91$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 330 | 40.3%133 W · 197 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Blue Otter | 23c | 414.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed NRG Esports | 80c | 380$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Blue Otter | 21c | 262.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 236 | 24.6%58 W · 178 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…a844backed Blue Otter | 13c | 254.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed Blue Otter | 20c | 253.23$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Blue Otter | 6c | 248.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 152 | 32.2%49 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Blue Otter | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 115 | 32.2%37 W · 78 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Blue Otter | 20c | 190.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Blue Otter | 15c | 161.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 331 | 25.7%85 W · 246 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Blue Otter | 15c | 147.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 584 | 20.2%118 W · 466 L | -58.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed Blue Otter | 20c | 49.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed NRG Esports | 79c | 32.94$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked NRG Esports | 79c | 24.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 182 | 63.7%116 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Blue Otter - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonNRG Esports won
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Blue Otter - Game 1 WinnerBlue Otter won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.