Lol · resolved market
LoL: NRG Esports vs Blue Otter - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63d875ce8b9658790bdddcb65b303825f925d83745206bd74e2ea35fd2d10369
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Otterof NRG Esports, Blue Otter
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed Blue Otter | 48c | 892.64$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.17 | 264 | 43.6%115 W · 149 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…d63cbacked NRG Esports | 75c | 844$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Blue Otter | 25c | 764$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.05 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Blue Otter | 52c | 726.59$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.38 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG Esports | 49c | 681.33$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.85 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Blue Otter | 65c | 472.19$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.51 | 321 | 60.7%195 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NRG Esports | 55c | 436.21$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.67 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Blue Otter | 47c | 414.4$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.79 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed NRG Esports | 52c | 387.53$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.51 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed Blue Otter | 75c | 351.64$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 331 | 43.8%145 W · 186 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked NRG Esports | 25c | 322.38$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.59 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed NRG Esports | 52c | 300$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.65 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed NRG Esports | 35c | 256.03$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.61 | 330 | 40.3%133 W · 197 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Blue Otter | 23c | 230.95$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.76 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Blue Otter | 44c | 229.16$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.1 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Blue Otter | 47c | 206.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.79 | 419 | 45.1%189 W · 230 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed NRG Esports | 15c | 200.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 152 | 32.2%49 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed NRG Esports | 52c | 186.26$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f25…51f3backed Blue Otter | 53c | 184.25$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.08 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed NRG Esports | 42c | 130.72$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked NRG Esports | 45c | 116.51$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Blue Otter | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 459 | 37%170 W · 289 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Blue Otter | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 387 | 43.9%170 W · 217 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked NRG Esports | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Blue Otter | 24c | 88.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.53 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed NRG Esports | 41c | 81.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…a829backed NRG Esports | 76c | 80.25$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…f30dbacked NRG Esports | 77c | 78.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.29 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed NRG Esports | 76c | 75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…527ebacked Blue Otter | 55c | 70.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 625 | 58.7%367 W · 258 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Blue Otter | 40c | 67.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 236 | 24.6%58 W · 178 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked NRG Esports | 55c | 54.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Blue Otter | 51c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 208 | 36.1%75 W · 133 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NRG Esports | 61c | 53.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Blue Otter | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 350 | 48%168 W · 182 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed Blue Otter | 25c | 46.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed NRG Esports | 46c | 45.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed NRG Esports | 37c | 44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked NRG Esports | 26c | 43.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 495 | 14.3%71 W · 424 L | -70.5wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked NRG Esports | 36c | 43.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 584 | 20.2%118 W · 466 L | -58.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed NRG Esports | 78c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Blue Otter | 51c | 38.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 282 | 50%141 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Blue Otter | 49c | 35.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 607 | 38.7%235 W · 372 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…5085backed Blue Otter | 77c | 32.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 236 | 56.8%134 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Blue Otter | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 430 | 40.9%176 W · 254 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed NRG Esports | 77c | 19.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 168 | 63.7%107 W · 61 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x207d…e599backed NRG Esports | 64c | 19.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed Blue Otter | 64c | 17.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 164 | 62.8%103 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed NRG Esports | 76c | 16.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 304 | 41.8%127 W · 177 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked NRG Esports | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 182 | 63.7%116 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Blue Otter | 79c | 13.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.9 | 696 | 44.4%309 W · 387 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Blue Otter - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonNRG Esports won
- LoL: NRG Esports vs Blue Otter - Game 2 WinnerNRG Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.