Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Global Esports vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c832130f86c6e9aae843d17d2cdf1f091a60f6dba29652dcafe2f828cf15732
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim RedForceof Global Esports, Nongshim RedForce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Nongshim RedForce | 50c | 2,983$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.83 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 2,444$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.79 | 93 | 71%66 W · 27 L | +15.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…2079backed Global Esports | 50c | 2,231$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.31 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Global Esports | 48c | 999.66$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.09 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Global Esports | 49c | 991.19$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.56 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nongshim RedForce | 57c | 732.17$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.89 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 499.98$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Global Esports | 45c | 485.76$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.51 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdf…f7d1backed Global Esports | 46c | 353.34$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Global Esports | 45c | 325.98$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.69 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Global Esports | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f0…7b5bbacked Nongshim RedForce | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed Global Esports | 55c | 242.8$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.54 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Global Esports | 47c | 219.55$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.22 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nongshim RedForce | 44c | 209.85$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.32 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Nongshim RedForce | 59c | 197.55$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Global Esports | 50c | 195$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe9…4a83backed Nongshim RedForce | 51c | 192.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.02 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nongshim RedForce | 45c | 166.22$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.13 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 157.31$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.22 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed Global Esports | 54c | 144.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 38c | 130.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.59 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Global Esports | 58c | 115.83$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 49c | 111.15$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Nongshim RedForce | 44c | 77.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Global Esports | 46c | 74.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Global Esports | 46c | 64.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Global Esports | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed Global Esports | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Nongshim RedForce | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Nongshim RedForce | 56c | 47.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5460…15b5backed Nongshim RedForce | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Global Esports | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Nongshim RedForce | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Global Esports | 51c | 29.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…0b0dbacked Global Esports | 52c | 28.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Global Esports vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 4 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Global Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2Global Esports won
- Valorant: Global Esports vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Global Esports vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 WinnerGlobal Esports won
- Valorant: Global Esports vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 3 WinnerGlobal Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.