Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Global Esports vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12e87d65ba55792c0ce38b85606f7677536e3f9142e21d27b734be4248e19137
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim RedForceof Global Esports, Nongshim RedForce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c3f…75cfbacked Nongshim RedForce | 51c | 14,873$7,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,322.86 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Global Esports | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 32c | 4,020$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,721.96 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nongshim RedForce | 42c | 3,926$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.89 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Global Esports | 70c | 3,263$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.52 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Nongshim RedForce | 39c | 1,920$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.95 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Global Esports | 70c | 1,723$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Global Esports | 69c | 1,233$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.94 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Global Esports | 71c | 1,000$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.18 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Global Esports | 71c | 999.93$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.6 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Global Esports | 74c | 877.17$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.4 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Global Esports | 17c | 598.55$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.03 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Global Esports | 72c | 566.73$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.04 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Global Esports | 44c | 522.65$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.74 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Global Esports | 72c | 365.34$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.94 | 66 | 72.7%48 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Global Esports | 66c | 356.92$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.46 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Global Esports | 70c | 356.59$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.39 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Global Esports | 66c | 322$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.94 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nongshim RedForce | 64c | 312.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.68 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Global Esports | 65c | 291.34$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.1 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nongshim RedForce | 39c | 266.31$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.25 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Global Esports | 67c | 249.99$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.8 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Nongshim RedForce | 42c | 240.83$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.68 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Global Esports | 77c | 191.28$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Global Esports | 73c | 179.24$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.95 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Global Esports | 73c | 163$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.1 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Nongshim RedForce | 54c | 154.87$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.01 | 158 | 42.4%67 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Nongshim RedForce | 42c | 136$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Global Esports | 79c | 126$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Nongshim RedForce | 23c | 107.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.85 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Global Esports | 74c | 89.3$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.23 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nongshim RedForce | 76c | 89.16$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nongshim RedForce | 37c | 74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Nongshim RedForce | 16c | 71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.64 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nongshim RedForce | 57c | 70.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Global Esports | 26c | 68.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Global Esports | 43c | 65.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed Nongshim RedForce | 40c | 59.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Global Esports | 55c | 58.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3419backed Nongshim RedForce | 42c | 46.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Nongshim RedForce | 38c | 41.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Global Esports | 69c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…258ebacked Nongshim RedForce | 53c | 30.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Global Esports | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Nongshim RedForce | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Global Esports vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Global Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2Global Esports won
- Valorant: Global Esports vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 WinnerGlobal Esports won
- Valorant: Global Esports vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 3 WinnerGlobal Esports won
- Valorant: Global Esports vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 4 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.