Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cd9cc8d9526f8ad51f0abcec3fa70ab43bce59d0a401894f5c394e6719d6886
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 36c | 2,357$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.43 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 1,183$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.82 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 43c | 691.67$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.6 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 60c | 593.5$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.21 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked No | 53c | 575.64$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…b7a6backed Yes | 33c | 533.82$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 21c | 398.2$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.51 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 64c | 276.46$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.62 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Yes | 19c | 263.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.15 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked No | 77c | 261.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 41c | 244.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.14 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 15c | 199.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.4 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 79c | 175.45$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.92 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd782…6ebbbacked No | 64c | 172.14$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 80c | 142.29$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.29 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 137.26$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.89 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ce…ed13backed Yes | 70c | 133$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 69c | 129.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.66 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 66c | 128$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 73c | 121.83$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 26c | 118.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 17c | 98.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.15 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 55c | 89.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Yes | 51c | 81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 17c | 76.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 79c | 75.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 60c | 71.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…0dc3backed Yes | 77c | 64.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 47c | 61.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed No | 69c | 58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 64c | 55.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 66c | 55.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 60c | 51.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…c96ebacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 37c | 49.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 65c | 42.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed No | 50c | 37.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 60c | 30.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 66c | 30.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 60c | 29.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 58c | 28.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…8b2abacked Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed No | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed No | 64c | 20.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 62c | 19.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 66c | 19.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club win on 2026-04-10?this page
- Will Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?No won
- Will NEOM SC win on 2026-04-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.