TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will NEOM SC win on 2026-04-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,239
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,072

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,239 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes30c15,890$4,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,766.9817753.1%94 W · 83 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c10,988$7,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,128.095,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes20c4,934$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.711,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No71c4,395$3,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.0140156.4%226 W · 175 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes33c1,583$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.4649044.3%217 W · 273 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No70c1,111$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.314247.2%67 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes63c1,085$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.321,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes40c1,010$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4031926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-47.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Yes40c999.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked No41c972.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.061855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+50.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No71c935.31$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.3122656.6%128 W · 98 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe81e…3640backed Yes64c915.75$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.352050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No60c833.28$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.3121574.4%160 W · 55 L+45.1wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+49.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked No70c789.94$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.647356.2%41 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No72c660.58$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.996847.1%32 W · 36 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No69c601.77$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.6910160.4%61 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No59c566.53$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.242,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Yes33c557.22$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.742347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes63c520$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.68242.7%35 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes18c473.14$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1739655.8%221 W · 175 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd782…6ebbbacked Yes43c470.71$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.37425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f52…7ce1backed Yes64c458.72$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked Yes30c449.83$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.953933.3%13 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+59.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No68c425.28$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.3614557.2%83 W · 62 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes17c412.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2172144.1%318 W · 403 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No74c363.82$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.3216356.4%92 W · 71 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No69c362.57$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.0316759.9%100 W · 67 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No36c355.13$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.5238849.5%192 W · 196 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No60c329.04$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.3396846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes49c308.51$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No70c307.53$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6634558.6%202 W · 143 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No37c292.59$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.3362349.1%306 W · 317 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed No38c261.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.2966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No60c216.71$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6815772%113 W · 44 L+33.9wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+63.8%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No36c208.2$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.2953148.8%259 W · 272 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No70c203.79$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.57466.2%49 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12821449.1%105 W · 109 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No37c198.69$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.1739649.7%197 W · 199 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No37c196$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.359926.3%26 W · 73 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+7.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes27c193.86$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0829425.2%74 W · 220 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No42c179.98$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.3918446.2%85 W · 99 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No70c172$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.647860.3%288 W · 190 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No70c172$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.69859.2%58 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No70c172$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.628253.5%151 W · 131 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes61c166.5$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.581,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked No37c160$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.84643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009055.6%50 W · 40 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Yes49c147.82$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes51c147.34$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756440.6%26 W · 38 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabd8…553cbacked No73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes47c136.68$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.815240.1%61 W · 91 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42f7…45dfbacked Yes63c136.15$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked No71c114.51$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.41850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7d2…3287backed Yes29c104.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.73837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6123755.3%131 W · 106 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Yes58c98.96$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.41844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes32c96.47$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8646422.6%105 W · 359 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes42c95.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4038737.5%145 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Yes29c89.17$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.071540%6 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Yes29c88.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3111023.6%26 W · 84 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No65c81.09$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1615358.8%90 W · 63 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019048.4%92 W · 98 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No37c77.14$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.610846.3%50 W · 58 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No43c69.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3918445.7%84 W · 100 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed No69c68$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3524656.9%140 W · 106 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No35c67$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.551,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes33c64.66$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5984347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No62c63.6$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4432560.3%196 W · 129 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No54c59.37$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1119055.3%105 W · 85 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes63c47.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307948.1%38 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes64c46.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011059.1%65 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes24c42.86$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2914149.6%70 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9368…8b01backed Yes30c40.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+58%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Yes58c40.53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.513658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb1d…a925backed Yes43c34.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.831752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Yes66c32.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.315664.3%36 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No72c31.79$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.939058.2%227 W · 163 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked Yes64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+7.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe9da…ed70backed No41c30.82$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1810361.2%63 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.916746.1%77 W · 90 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No69c28.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.789554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Yes62c26.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.61747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…435dbacked Yes58c25.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed No66c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.55461.1%33 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d90…3bbdbacked No44c24.32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.642360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.62445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3814…daefbacked Yes65c17.83$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43f5…40d0backed Yes63c16.37$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.312254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.