Tennis · resolved market
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Maribor (Slovenia), clay: Marko Retelj vs Karlo Kajin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d3573e86fcf13324bb50aa26b517a2148045bb884594b80d59cce18e38bc71c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karlo Kajinof Marko Retelj, Karlo Kajin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Karlo Kajin | 49c | 1,412$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.65 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Marko Retelj | 50c | 1,006$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.69 | 436 | 52.1%227 W · 209 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Marko Retelj | 51c | 400.33$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.45 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marko Retelj | 49c | 342.16$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.11 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Karlo Kajin | 64c | 272.53$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.81 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Karlo Kajin | 44c | 233.29$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.64 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Karlo Kajin | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Marko Retelj | 53c | 216.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1,091 | 60.2%657 W · 434 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Marko Retelj | 54c | 203.14$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.51 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Marko Retelj | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f1…28d4backed Karlo Kajin | 79c | 132.84$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Karlo Kajin | 56c | 123.15$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…ba95backed Marko Retelj | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Marko Retelj | 23c | 89.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Karlo Kajin | 44c | 84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2e…37cabacked Marko Retelj | 32c | 79.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Marko Retelj | 21c | 72.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Karlo Kajin | 67c | 72.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 471 | 66.5%313 W · 158 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7857…76d9backed Marko Retelj | 31c | 65.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Karlo Kajin | 52c | 45.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Marko Retelj | 53c | 33.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Marko Retelj | 53c | 32.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 329 | 63.8%210 W · 119 L | +36.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Marko Retelj | 53c | 31.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 466 | 58.6%273 W · 193 L | +24.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Marko Retelj | 53c | 31.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 406 | 59.9%243 W · 163 L | +30.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Marko Retelj | 53c | 31.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 395 | 60.3%238 W · 157 L | +28.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Marko Retelj | 53c | 29.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 417 | 58.5%244 W · 173 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Marko Retelj | 53c | 28.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 421 | 59.1%249 W · 172 L | +25.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Marko Retelj | 54c | 28.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Marko Retelj | 53c | 27.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 392 | 57.7%226 W · 166 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Marko Retelj | 53c | 27.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 417 | 58.5%244 W · 173 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Marko Retelj | 44c | 26.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 826 | 57.1%472 W · 354 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953a…624cbacked Marko Retelj | 48c | 22.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -8.5wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd16f…9713backed Karlo Kajin | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Maribor (Slovenia), clay: Marko Retelj vs Karlo Kajinthis page
- ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Maribor (Slovenia), clay: Completed Match: Marko Retelj vs Karlo KajinYes won
- Set 1 Winner: Retelj vs KajinKajin won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.