Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Old Dominion Monarchs (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d50731ccdcfd26cf127f5a7a6cf469dd1bae9ae8622fd1231b482558b445d83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Old Dominion Monarchsof Old Dominion Monarchs, Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 48c | 2,888$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.61 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 50c | 841.77$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.89 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 44c | 792.37$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.88 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 47c | 704.41$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.28 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 52c | 664.26$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.42 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 56c | 642.27$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 57c | 529.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 52c | 471$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.92 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 77c | 231.11$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 53c | 212.76$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.76 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 50c | 194.9$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.75 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 57c | 175.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 20c | 141.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 46c | 139$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.41 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 56c | 89.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 52c | 82.42$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 52c | 62.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 48c | 39.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 52c | 29.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Old Dominion Monarchs (-6.5)this page
- Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Old Dominion MonarchsOld Dominion Monarchs won
- Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Old Dominion Monarchs: O/U 135.5Over won
- Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Old Dominion Monarchs: O/U 136.5Over won
- Spread: Old Dominion Monarchs (-5.5)Old Dominion Monarchs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.