Europa Conference League · resolved market
Pyunik FA vs. Debreceni VSC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d50f46f7e89c5db6f6449ced87fdbe1c00308d961ad6fde93311da83b97d933
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 40c | 3,762$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 3,099$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.11 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 1,660$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.23 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 13c | 689.11$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.97 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 26c | 573.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.31 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 43c | 461.46$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.36 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 253.53$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.52 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 34c | 247.09$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 14c | 239.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 45c | 233$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.85 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 66c | 191.13$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 60c | 163.89$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.48 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 46c | 113.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 46c | 113.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 53c | 111.26$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.29 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 47c | 111.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 39c | 92.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 46c | 85.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 72.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.77 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 74c | 70.28$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 62c | 66.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 75c | 63.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Over | 36c | 58.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 64c | 47.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Under | 56c | 40.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 44c | 40.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 65c | 37.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a5…3da0backed Under | 56c | 27.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 62c | 17.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pyunik FA vs. Debreceni VSC: O/U 2.5this page
- Pyunik FA vs. Debreceni VSC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Pyunik FA vs. Debreceni VSC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Pyunik FA vs. Debreceni VSC: O/U 0.5Under won
- Pyunik FA vs. Debreceni VSC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Pyunik FA vs. Debreceni VSC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Pyunik FA vs. Debreceni VSC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Pyunik FA vs. Debreceni VSC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Pyunik FA vs. Debreceni VSC: Pyunik FA O/U 0.5Under won
- Pyunik FA vs. Debreceni VSC: Team to AdvanceDebreceni VSC won
- Spread: Debreceni VSC (-2.5)Pyunik FA won
- Spread: Pyunik FA (-1.5)Debreceni VSC won
- Spread: Pyunik FA (-2.5)Debreceni VSC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.