Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d600d2a387d54cfee3018f5b6db194066c1aa04669d25b311ce2a27bc1b0629
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yellow Submarineof Yellow Submarine, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,533 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Yellow Submarine | 43c | 1,900$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.17 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +171.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Rune Eaters | 32c | 1,201$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.47 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 1,010$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.1 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Rune Eaters | 56c | 945.65$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.21 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Yellow Submarine | 62c | 750$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.5 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Yellow Submarine | 37c | 735.52$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.29 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Yellow Submarine | 53c | 651$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.97 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Rune Eaters | 64c | 601.94$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.54 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Yellow Submarine | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Yellow Submarine | 43c | 579.61$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.97 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rune Eaters | 51c | 441.83$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.27 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 435$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…f602backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 430$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.46 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…9b0cbacked Yellow Submarine | 71c | 376.63$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rune Eaters | 46c | 369.26$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.49 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 332.63$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Yellow Submarine | 54c | 324.86$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.44 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine | 62c | 312.1$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.85 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Yellow Submarine | 49c | 263.4$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.34 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1379…f149backed Rune Eaters | 42c | 223$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7576…3ff4backed Yellow Submarine | 63c | 221$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.84 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Rune Eaters | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Yellow Submarine | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Yellow Submarine | 44c | 176.8$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.01 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 171.33$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Yellow Submarine | 42c | 170$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.54 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Yellow Submarine | 65c | 153.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Rune Eaters | 27c | 150.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd7…a7e5backed Yellow Submarine | 63c | 131$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Rune Eaters | 32c | 126$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…748abacked Rune Eaters | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 130 | 26.2%34 W · 96 L | -15.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked Yellow Submarine | 49c | 117.38$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Yellow Submarine | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 98.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Rune Eaters | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yellow Submarine | 46c | 97.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Yellow Submarine | 67c | 96.01$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47c…a36abacked Yellow Submarine | 58c | 91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Yellow Submarine | 43c | 79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Rune Eaters | 38c | 64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Yellow Submarine | 52c | 62.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Rune Eaters | 40c | 61.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Yellow Submarine | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…5d10backed Yellow Submarine | 40c | 51.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefcc…4883backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5043…c922backed Rune Eaters | 42c | 49.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -7.4wins | -0.34per pick | 43cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Yellow Submarine | 63c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed Yellow Submarine | 43c | 46.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -9.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Yellow Submarine | 51c | 44.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…65c5backed Rune Eaters | 66c | 44.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7641…0089backed Yellow Submarine | 52c | 42.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Yellow Submarine | 55c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 149 | 62.4%93 W · 56 L | +21.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Yellow Submarine | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 125 | 68%85 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Rune Eaters | 47c | 39.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yellow Submarine | 49c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Rune Eaters | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Yellow Submarine | 50c | 35.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…e5d1backed Yellow Submarine | 78c | 34.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5de…88dabacked Rune Eaters | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked Yellow Submarine | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…3533backed Rune Eaters | 71c | 25.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…e5c6backed Rune Eaters | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd3…c69dbacked Rune Eaters | 57c | 20.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Yellow Submarine | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…4046backed Yellow Submarine | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…db07backed Yellow Submarine | 59c | 17.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…60ccbacked Yellow Submarine | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe4…dd93backed Yellow Submarine | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Rune Eaters | 67c | 15.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 WinnerRune Eaters won
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 WinnerYellow Submarine won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.