Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dbee52cd893ef99fc530ac26e2c31417a6df31a5e84239054499541ca6ec002

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Fnaticof Fnatic, Team Vitality
Resolved: Apr 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $89,931
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $103,570

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,931 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe96f…ff4bbacked Fnatic	69c	7,043$4,890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,153.23	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Team Vitality	44c	5,256$2,303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,303.3	301	47.2%142 W · 159 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Vitality	33c	3,016$989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$989.27	684	58.3%399 W · 285 L	+56.5wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Fnatic	50c	2,899$1,453 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,446.2	547	51.2%280 W · 267 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Team Vitality	1c	2,600$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+1.9wins	+0.16per pick	9cpaid	+53.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Team Vitality	4c	2,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Vitality	32c	1,897$613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$613.25	655	59.4%389 W · 266 L	+50.5wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Vitality	34c	1,305$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.9	531	59.1%314 W · 217 L	+41.6wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Vitality	50c	1,192$596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$595.78	191	57.1%109 W · 82 L	+23.4wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Team Vitality	50c	972.82$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.96	111	52.3%58 W · 53 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Team Vitality	2c	950$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	79	0%0 W · 79 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Vitality	50c	868.7$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.94	702	51.3%360 W · 342 L	+7.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Fnatic	58c	697.85$402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.94	888	44.4%394 W · 494 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Vitality	33c	639.25$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.86	215	58.1%125 W · 90 L	+15.9wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Team Vitality	11c	603$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.94	88	28.4%25 W · 63 L	-6.1wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Fnatic	30c	595.67$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$414.17	407	31.7%129 W · 278 L	-13.1wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf5…8483backed Fnatic	34c	565.49$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$373.42	36	50%18 W · 18 L	-4.2wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Team Vitality	50c	553.87$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.94	59	39%23 W · 36 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Team Vitality	41c	509.98$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.09	361	38.5%139 W · 222 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Team Vitality	11c	474$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.45	267	30.7%82 W · 185 L	-13.9wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Team Vitality	3c	440$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	69	24.6%17 W · 52 L	-6.8wins	-0.10per pick	34cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked Fnatic	72c	421.4$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.45	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	60cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed Team Vitality	54c	408.02$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.39	109	56%61 W · 48 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeac5…cab7backed Fnatic	44c	394.64$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.21	79	48.1%38 W · 41 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Vitality	47c	380.08$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.54	610	35.9%219 W · 391 L	-17.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1599…5432backed Team Vitality	50c	379.98$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.99	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Fnatic	70c	378.27$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.08	943	61.2%577 W · 366 L	+58.2wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Team Vitality	54c	360.15$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.48	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0188…91babacked Team Vitality	61c	320.58$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.31	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Vitality	56c	293.34$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.08	1,376	47.1%648 W · 728 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Team Vitality	10c	256$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.6	94	38.3%36 W · 58 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-20%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Vitality	49c	243.57$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.19	931	48.1%448 W · 483 L	-11.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Fnatic	46c	219.72$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.65	58	46.6%27 W · 31 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2156…b735backed Fnatic	46c	195.84$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.71	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+73.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed Fnatic	50c	194$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97	255	55.7%142 W · 113 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0c…3ccebacked Team Vitality	36c	178.31$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.53	73	52.1%38 W · 35 L	+7.8wins	+0.11per pick	41cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Team Vitality	23c	178$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.42	266	34.6%92 W · 174 L	-13.9wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Vitality	39c	171.69$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.89	1,601	37.5%600 W · 1,001 L	-75.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c17…f4f0backed Fnatic	59c	162.66$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.69	45	62.2%28 W · 17 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Team Vitality	10c	160$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	133	36.8%49 W · 84 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Team Vitality	10c	160$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	126	33.3%42 W · 84 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf40d…20a1backed Fnatic	62c	157.61$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.89	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5024…b8bcbacked Fnatic	63c	155.3$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.53	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	66cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2655…eaa4backed Fnatic	46c	145.79$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.73	79	30.4%24 W · 55 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Vitality	44c	141.51$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.6	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Team Vitality	36c	131.88$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.87	91	33%30 W · 61 L	-6.2wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed Fnatic	51c	128.47$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.55	264	36%95 W · 169 L	-15.8wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40dd…e214backed Team Vitality	16c	121.63$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.04	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Fnatic	42c	115.56$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.61	544	39.9%217 W · 327 L	+12.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Team Vitality	41c	110$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.4	130	35.4%46 W · 84 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd991…0133backed Fnatic	46c	105.17$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.79	115	59.1%68 W · 47 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Team Vitality	10c	101$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	158	39.2%62 W · 96 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4dd6…e33abacked Team Vitality	33c	92.68$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.58	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Fnatic	53c	91.95$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.36	82	54.9%45 W · 37 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Team Vitality	48c	90.03$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.21	141	52.5%74 W · 67 L	+7.1wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Fnatic	62c	86.69$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.32	450	33.8%152 W · 298 L	-35.6wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Team Vitality	46c	84.87$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.89	202	48%97 W · 105 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Fnatic	41c	83$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.97	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	+4.4wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51b6…1903backed Team Vitality	54c	73.74$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.66	263	54.4%143 W · 120 L	-8.5wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x347d…098abacked Fnatic	68c	71.76$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.01	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-2.6wins	-0.19per pick	69cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Team Vitality	50c	70.71$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.36	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked Team Vitality	17c	69.46$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.75	152	17.8%27 W · 125 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Vitality	75c	65.79$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.18	291	51.5%150 W · 141 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x201b…a5fcbacked Fnatic	49c	64.4$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.84	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Team Vitality	62c	61.72$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.44	636	52.7%335 W · 301 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed Fnatic	76c	60.79$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.82	106	61.3%65 W · 41 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Team Vitality	38c	50.67$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.26	308	28.2%87 W · 221 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4af0…7696backed Fnatic	66c	50.65$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.43	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-26%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Team Vitality	26c	49.85$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.92	40	20%8 W · 32 L	-5.9wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed Team Vitality	50c	47.55$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.77	189	48.7%92 W · 97 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Fnatic	55c	45.04$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.29	210	48.1%101 W · 109 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Fnatic	32c	44.38$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.14	45	33.3%15 W · 30 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Fnatic	50c	43.93$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.83	174	48.3%84 W · 90 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c34…dec4backed Team Vitality	35c	43.63$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.27	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Fnatic	47c	39.63$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.01	534	42.1%225 W · 309 L	-15.0wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb19f…1c86backed Team Vitality	39c	37.03$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.44	49	18.4%9 W · 40 L	-6.7wins	-0.14per pick	32cpaid	-53%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fnatic	31c	36.86$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.43	1,417	51.3%727 W · 690 L	+49.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf885…d719backed Team Vitality	32c	35.12$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.19	40	60%24 W · 16 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31fa…a8f4backed Fnatic	72c	35.07$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.89	88	65.9%58 W · 30 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf380…17bbbacked Fnatic	69c	28.45$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.82	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked Fnatic	40c	26.51$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.91	212	40.1%85 W · 127 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Team Vitality	39c	26.16$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	219	51.6%113 W · 106 L	-16.1wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Fnatic	53c	21.29$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.08	93	46.2%43 W · 50 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8ac…fd38backed Fnatic	51c	20.67$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.13	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	41cpaid	-72%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf21d…2e9abacked Team Vitality	70c	19.64$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.75	267	58.8%157 W · 110 L	+18.8wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Fnatic	62c	18.44$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7	257	52.1%134 W · 123 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)Fnatic won
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaFnatic won
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 2 WinnerFnatic won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event