Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Ruud
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4de51d67410cadc62bf92b4b60f93f10727f239e52ae7b84ac973a90e396decd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auger-Aliassimeof Auger-Aliassime, Ruud
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd5a8…95b7backed Ruud | 67c | 873.56$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.26 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Auger-Aliassime | 45c | 432.12$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.75 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…6f10backed Auger-Aliassime | 38c | 376.68$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.23 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9961…edcfbacked Auger-Aliassime | 52c | 376.24$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.05 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Auger-Aliassime | 39c | 334.43$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Ruud | 61c | 320.2$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.32 | 310 | 39.4%122 W · 188 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ruud | 50c | 314.9$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.33 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5462…fe43backed Auger-Aliassime | 45c | 307.4$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.12 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Auger-Aliassime | 67c | 293.75$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.74 | 188 | 68.6%129 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d41…e3ddbacked Ruud | 69c | 285.09$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.27 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Auger-Aliassime | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ruud | 50c | 179.94$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.83 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…3b73backed Ruud | 59c | 165.74$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Auger-Aliassime | 41c | 160.17$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.18 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Auger-Aliassime | 41c | 151.07$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.13 | 228 | 56.1%128 W · 100 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088a…9ee7backed Auger-Aliassime | 72c | 150.21$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Auger-Aliassime | 37c | 146.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.71 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…2828backed Auger-Aliassime | 41c | 132.45$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Auger-Aliassime | 61c | 112.28$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…0d9cbacked Ruud | 58c | 106.27$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Auger-Aliassime | 35c | 82.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Auger-Aliassime | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Ruud | 71c | 66.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Auger-Aliassime | 37c | 62.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Ruud | 55c | 53.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb847…566dbacked Ruud | 60c | 40.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Ruud | 46c | 37.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Ruud | 63c | 34.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Auger-Aliassime | 51c | 33.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcc…45f6backed Ruud | 60c | 33.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -10.4wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -29%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Ruud | 60c | 21.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de5…1139backed Auger-Aliassime | 62c | 17.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Ruudthis page
- Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper RuudFelix Auger-Aliassime won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.