Europa Conference League · resolved market
Paide Linnameeskond vs. FC Hegelmann: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4deeff1aba25e79c3c651a2e1a7eb3f84d9e775dc7dbd38b851cef9723abbdf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 65c | 499.96$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.97 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…5631backed Yes | 30c | 320.5$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 317.48$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.57 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…ddd3backed Yes | 66c | 303.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 198.5$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.55 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e4…07b1backed Yes | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 35c | 130.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.89 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 45c | 118.17$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c09…84f0backed Yes | 55c | 116.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 55c | 109.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 45c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked No | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 35c | 97.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.11 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 37c | 70.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 55c | 42.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 40.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked No | 45c | 37.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 55c | 33.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53d9…ab6ebacked Yes | 56c | 31.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5a…6cedbacked Yes | 65c | 26.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 55c | 23.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paide Linnameeskond vs. FC Hegelmann: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Paide Linnameeskond vs. FC Hegelmann: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Paide Linnameeskond vs. FC Hegelmann: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Paide Linnameeskond vs. FC Hegelmann: O/U 0.5Over won
- Paide Linnameeskond vs. FC Hegelmann: O/U 1.5Over won
- Paide Linnameeskond vs. FC Hegelmann: O/U 2.5Over won
- Paide Linnameeskond vs. FC Hegelmann: O/U 3.5Under won
- Paide Linnameeskond vs. FC Hegelmann: O/U 4.5Under won
- Paide Linnameeskond vs. FC Hegelmann: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Paide Linnameeskond (-1.5)Paide Linnameeskond won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.