South American Leagues · resolved market
Coritiba FBC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e13ac6c8e79f2717143c6b2094345ce0da67d585f2014fb76d60e6fa9a8a9f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 1,904$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.41 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Under | 31c | 1,399$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.57 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 50c | 1,308$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.98 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 40c | 773.5$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.42 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 704.02$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.79 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 4c | 665.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 64c | 544$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.84 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 40c | 408.16$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.66 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 69c | 376.08$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.58 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Over | 59c | 337.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.4 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 44c | 266.17$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.63 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Over | 63c | 251.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 10c | 235.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 51c | 136.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 32c | 126.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 54c | 123.95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 55c | 117$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 32c | 108.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…72a6backed Over | 57c | 98.97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 55c | 89.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 55c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 55c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 70c | 67.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 65c | 65.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +10.6wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x8210…1942backed Under | 54c | 58.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 62c | 56.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…490ebacked Over | 74c | 40.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Under | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 52c | 38.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Under | 43c | 34.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 37c | 34.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 69c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…736ebacked Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 54c | 22.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coritiba FBC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5this page
- Coritiba FBC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 0.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5Over won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: SC Corinthians Paulista O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-2.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)Coritiba FBC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.