Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: REBORN vs Galatasaray Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e425b9b0dd6c5044c5e31ce7c45d548ab845e50ed4d1c54dfe0d2a34e972019
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REBORNof REBORN, Galatasaray Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Galatasaray Esports | 35c | 3,393$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.06 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked REBORN | 57c | 1,657$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.65 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked REBORN | 53c | 1,190$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.56 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked REBORN | 63c | 1,026$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.65 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Galatasaray Esports | 45c | 696.94$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.62 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Galatasaray Esports | 37c | 474.83$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.44 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Galatasaray Esports | 31c | 302.14$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.09 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Galatasaray Esports | 16c | 182.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Galatasaray Esports | 11c | 146.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Galatasaray Esports | 39c | 120.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Galatasaray Esports | 19c | 77.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed REBORN | 57c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Galatasaray Esports | 29c | 63.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed REBORN | 66c | 40.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked REBORN | 67c | 39.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked REBORN | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Galatasaray Esports | 50c | 37.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked REBORN | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Galatasaray Esports | 43c | 29.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: REBORN vs Galatasaray Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: REBORN vs Galatasaray Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group B REBORN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.