South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CA Tigre (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e79158e4608163dd44a8f2dee621895b9a1b0795ac7a146164b9424e89b5d0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CA Tigreof CA Tigre, Club Alianza Atlético
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Club Alianza Atlético | 54c | 2,376$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.85 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed CA Tigre | 52c | 1,597$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.79 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Club Alianza Atlético | 52c | 1,137$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.33 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Club Alianza Atlético | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CA Tigre | 35c | 1,019$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.89 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked CA Tigre | 50c | 986.71$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.29 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed CA Tigre | 50c | 875.28$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.17 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed CA Tigre | 53c | 498.36$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.23 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed CA Tigre | 38c | 293.68$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.49 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Club Alianza Atlético | 47c | 262.81$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.31 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Club Alianza Atlético | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Club Alianza Atlético | 64c | 183.39$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.32 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked CA Tigre | 53c | 179.08$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Club Alianza Atlético | 34c | 124.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4967backed Club Alianza Atlético | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked CA Tigre | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Club Alianza Atlético | 50c | 60.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed Club Alianza Atlético | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed CA Tigre | 53c | 56.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed CA Tigre | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked CA Tigre | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked CA Tigre | 48c | 24.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed CA Tigre | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CA Tigre (-1.5)this page
- CA Tigre vs. Club Alianza Atlético: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Tigre vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-2.5)Club Alianza Atlético won
- Spread: Club Alianza Atlético (-2.5)CA Tigre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.