South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Tigre vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9238d78b80519a39725af05b611a10795751f448b869d97ff3b99ba6ce873e3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 46c | 3,309$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.9 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 64c | 1,449$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.41 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 1,222$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.67 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 40c | 1,039$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.72 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Under | 24c | 416.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 14.5%18 W · 106 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 353.22$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.97 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 44c | 312.14$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.9 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 78c | 300.05$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 173 | 52%90 W · 83 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 49c | 299.5$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.94 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 25c | 222.77$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.72 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 76c | 201.02$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 78c | 182.51$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 76c | 164$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 77c | 147.05$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 49c | 130.07$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.73 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 23c | 123.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 77c | 71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 71c | 70.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 42 | 81%34 W · 8 L | +12.2wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 74c | 40.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1bf3backed Over | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 49c | 32.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…cebabacked Over | 76c | 23.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 73cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Tigre vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Tigre vs. Club Alianza Atlético: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Tigre vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-1.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-2.5)Club Alianza Atlético won
- Spread: Club Alianza Atlético (-2.5)CA Tigre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.