South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Tigre vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f7b8cb4d769ae45535df3f39ea9675dc51ccc2dd30f37e36d640fd6dcdce112
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.81 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 15c | 3,200$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 48c | 1,762$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.23 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 54c | 1,699$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.38 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 1,539$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.55 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 66c | 1,453$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.14 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 51c | 1,205$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.4 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Over | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 54c | 758.05$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.35 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 48c | 699.97$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.98 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 44c | 585.23$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.89 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 528.12$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.6 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 52c | 436.77$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.55 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 49c | 342.75$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.13 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.06 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Over | 52c | 260$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 245.89$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 47c | 234.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.39 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 48c | 223.67$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.31 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 48c | 177.75$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.98 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 48c | 165.75$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.19 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Over | 47c | 137.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 54c | 74.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 48c | 55.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 49c | 48.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Over | 52c | 42.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 37c | 40.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 49c | 38.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 48c | 35.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 55c | 27.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…7d46backed Under | 47c | 25.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Tigre vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Tigre vs. Club Alianza Atlético: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Tigre vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. Club Alianza Atlético: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-1.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-2.5)Club Alianza Atlético won
- Spread: Club Alianza Atlético (-2.5)CA Tigre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.