Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Leicester City FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f15991d23bae9126fbea5b0f0908f4d10806d945c8fa674f97785653e62838f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northampton Town FCof Leicester City FC, Northampton Town FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Leicester City FC | 45c | 3,041$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.29 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked Leicester City FC | 48c | 2,085$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Northampton Town FC | 53c | 1,936$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.2 | 812 | 34.7%282 W · 530 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Northampton Town FC | 51c | 1,863$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.58 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Northampton Town FC | 62c | 876$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.31 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Leicester City FC | 49c | 510$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 1,208 | 42.2%510 W · 698 L | -27.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Leicester City FC | 49c | 499.95$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.98 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Northampton Town FC | 47c | 171.45$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Northampton Town FC | 53c | 96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…9626backed Leicester City FC | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Leicester City FC | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Northampton Town FC | 53c | 62.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Northampton Town FC | 64c | 49.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Northampton Town FC | 53c | 48.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Northampton Town FC | 47c | 44.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Northampton Town FC | 49c | 43.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Northampton Town FC | 62c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Leicester City FC | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Northampton Town FC | 64c | 33.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Northampton Town FC | 64c | 32.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Northampton Town FC | 49c | 26.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Leicester City FC | 53c | 25.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Northampton Town FC | 62c | 25.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Northampton Town FC | 62c | 16.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-1.5)this page
- Leicester City FC vs. Northampton Town FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Leicester City FC vs. Northampton Town FC: Leicester City FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Leicester City FC vs. Northampton Town FC: Northampton Town FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Leicester City FC vs. Northampton Town FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Leicester City FC vs. Northampton Town FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Leicester City FC vs. Northampton Town FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Leicester City FC vs. Northampton Town FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Leicester City FC vs. Northampton Town FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Leicester City FC vs. Northampton Town FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-2.5)Northampton Town FC won
- Spread: Northampton Town FC (-1.5)Leicester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.