Premier League · resolved market
Leicester City FC vs. Northampton Town FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb85e62e08897ce20d7cfce664c50358723839898742e4f5a765387bb0d6ae283
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,522
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,522 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e49…5166backed Over | 59c | 7,457$4,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,408 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 45c | 6,264$2,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,449.32 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 47c | 3,003$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.89 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 68c | 1,518$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.64 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 1,326$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.82 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…4078backed Under | 31c | 1,325$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 57c | 1,001$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 51c | 892.3$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.97 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Over | 2c | 557.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed Under | 50c | 498$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 53c | 284.08$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.56 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 64c | 282.42$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.89 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -10.8wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 281.78$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.49 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 16c | 160.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 29c | 126$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Under | 44c | 90.46$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 57c | 41.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 57c | 36.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…6533backed Over | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Over | 60c | 30.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 59c | 22.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 57c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Under | 58c | 19.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Leicester City FC vs. Northampton Town FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Leicester City FC vs. Northampton Town FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Leicester City FC vs. Northampton Town FC: Leicester City FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Leicester City FC vs. Northampton Town FC: Northampton Town FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Leicester City FC vs. Northampton Town FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Leicester City FC vs. Northampton Town FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Leicester City FC vs. Northampton Town FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Leicester City FC vs. Northampton Town FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Leicester City FC vs. Northampton Town FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-1.5)Northampton Town FC won
- Spread: Leicester City FC (-2.5)Northampton Town FC won
- Spread: Northampton Town FC (-1.5)Leicester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.