CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs AaB Bulls - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f1703da00f99bc19b9e50edda8c99797bcdc01ebc932f6dcd1039706e996ce8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AaB Bullsof MASONIC, AaB Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked MASONIC | 74c | 2,080$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.27 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed MASONIC | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e5…f069backed MASONIC | 63c | 843.98$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.41 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…9384backed AaB Bulls | 29c | 591.72$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.76 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed AaB Bulls | 30c | 468.93$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.25 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked AaB Bulls | 29c | 445.52$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.28 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked AaB Bulls | 26c | 317.82$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.2 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed AaB Bulls | 25c | 312$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed AaB Bulls | 30c | 289.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.64 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MASONIC | 70c | 225.7$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.99 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed MASONIC | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed AaB Bulls | 27c | 194.28$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.76 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked MASONIC | 37c | 186.19$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked AaB Bulls | 53c | 179$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.28 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked AaB Bulls | 63c | 171.75$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…3987backed AaB Bulls | 25c | 155.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.98 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed AaB Bulls | 27c | 138.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.42 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked AaB Bulls | 26c | 123$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.56 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed AaB Bulls | 20c | 96.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.02 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked MASONIC | 15c | 95.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed MASONIC | 74c | 92$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…5dcebacked AaB Bulls | 30c | 87.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked AaB Bulls | 20c | 77.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked AaB Bulls | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed AaB Bulls | 59c | 53.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed MASONIC | 51c | 42.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed MASONIC | 44c | 41.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed MASONIC | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed MASONIC | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed MASONIC | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df3…b8bebacked MASONIC | 77c | 19.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked MASONIC | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked MASONIC | 71c | 14.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked MASONIC | 71c | 14.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs AaB Bulls - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs AaB Bulls (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group StageMASONIC won
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs AaB Bulls - Map 2 WinnerMASONIC won
- Map Handicap: MSC (-1.5) vs AaB Bulls (+1.5)AaB Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.