CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs AaB Bulls (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14598f2da99b73444e1ac3e97c0799f8c2b381d8f37fff45ee8780497e0abe6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MASONICof MASONIC, AaB Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed AaB Bulls | 21c | 2,029$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.1 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b90…63f1backed AaB Bulls | 20c | 1,191$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed AaB Bulls | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e5…f069backed MASONIC | 69c | 907.57$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.24 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked AaB Bulls | 21c | 849.73$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.3 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked MASONIC | 75c | 643.15$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.85 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MASONIC | 77c | 623.71$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.79 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed MASONIC | 56c | 576.05$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.46 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…3987backed AaB Bulls | 23c | 574.24$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.9 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed AaB Bulls | 24c | 500.51$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.09 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…6850backed AaB Bulls | 24c | 374.18$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked AaB Bulls | 27c | 358.59$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked AaB Bulls | 24c | 347.3$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.67 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed AaB Bulls | 23c | 345.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 162 | 45.7%74 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked AaB Bulls | 23c | 333.36$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.67 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed AaB Bulls | 23c | 326.58$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.58 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked MASONIC | 44c | 312.31$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.63 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed AaB Bulls | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked AaB Bulls | 41c | 267.97$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.31 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…6197backed AaB Bulls | 24c | 263$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.12 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed AaB Bulls | 36c | 250.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.67 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed MASONIC | 66c | 229.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked AaB Bulls | 22c | 229.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked AaB Bulls | 46c | 220.54$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.73 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…fcc2backed AaB Bulls | 21c | 219.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed MASONIC | 76c | 217.38$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed AaB Bulls | 18c | 213.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed MASONIC | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked AaB Bulls | 16c | 199.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed AaB Bulls | 43c | 197.52$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.77 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed AaB Bulls | 23c | 172.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed AaB Bulls | 24c | 156.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked AaB Bulls | 38c | 155$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked AaB Bulls | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed AaB Bulls | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed MASONIC | 45c | 136.61$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked MASONIC | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed AaB Bulls | 25c | 129.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed AaB Bulls | 17c | 124.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked AaB Bulls | 34c | 113.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked AaB Bulls | 27c | 111.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed AaB Bulls | 17c | 110.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed AaB Bulls | 12c | 108$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed AaB Bulls | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc987…123abacked AaB Bulls | 53c | 99.02$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed AaB Bulls | 23c | 93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed AaB Bulls | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked AaB Bulls | 41c | 91.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…8dcfbacked MASONIC | 45c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +10.2wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked AaB Bulls | 35c | 81.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed AaB Bulls | 17c | 78.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed MASONIC | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…2b8dbacked AaB Bulls | 23c | 72.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95e…102abacked AaB Bulls | 22c | 63.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked AaB Bulls | 26c | 58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed AaB Bulls | 42c | 57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed AaB Bulls | 47c | 54.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked MASONIC | 50c | 53.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 172 | 40.1%69 W · 103 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed MASONIC | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed AaB Bulls | 37c | 47.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked MASONIC | 65c | 46.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc33e…b4b6backed AaB Bulls | 27c | 41.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbac…ecc4backed AaB Bulls | 40c | 40.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | -19.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked MASONIC | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 305 | 45.9%140 W · 165 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed AaB Bulls | 39c | 25.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked MASONIC | 72c | 22.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed MASONIC | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d5…2c23backed AaB Bulls | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked MASONIC | 75c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs AaB Bulls (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs AaB Bulls - Map 1 WinnerAaB Bulls won
- Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs AaB Bulls - Map 2 WinnerMASONIC won
- Map Handicap: MSC (-1.5) vs AaB Bulls (+1.5)AaB Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.