Asian League · resolved market
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f17254d9f744e86bfa283c6121350308965f35d92c7e369b139caa37683ebd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 903.65$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.57 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…e800backed Under | 53c | 563.68$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.44 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +6.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +116.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 11c | 561.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Under | 55c | 499.98$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 51c | 358.2$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.52 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 292.81$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.23 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 47c | 287.23$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.92 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…291fbacked Under | 54c | 249.33$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 49c | 171$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 49c | 170.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.78 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 105.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…1444backed Under | 53c | 91.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 47c | 89.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…5a03backed Over | 47c | 64.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…df19backed Under | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 59c | 52.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 47c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked Under | 53c | 27.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 54c | 22.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 54c | 22.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2481…878dbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.