Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kayserispor win on 2025-11-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f6c1ce28a658a13a8dd5897be074dd61ad4df03e478a320b5b6743c01ddbeb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 70c | 4,990$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.38 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 4,206$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.67 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 2,517$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.63 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 63c | 2,433$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.33 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Yes | 22c | 2,360$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +53%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.97 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 76c | 1,159$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.88 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 18c | 928.41$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.71 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 70c | 783.62$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.91 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 79c | 766$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.14 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 77c | 736.82$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.26 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 673.3$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.48 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 23c | 445.03$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.67 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 78c | 313.71$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.27 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 78c | 308.54$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.44 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x825a…b9fdbacked Yes | 68c | 294.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8161…99dabacked Yes | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 28c | 238.4$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.88 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 34c | 195$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed No | 16c | 177.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 24c | 143.29$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.9 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 46c | 125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 64c | 119.45$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.47 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Yes | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 26c | 86.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.24 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c9…b445backed No | 14c | 84.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked No | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 28c | 51.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2e…6200backed No | 28c | 49.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 23c | 44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…edf8backed No | 28c | 40.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 76c | 37.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8460…0c1fbacked No | 39c | 29.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 48c | 27.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc20…f00dbacked No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7db…d69cbacked No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…0986backed No | 77c | 22.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4e…3725backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kayserispor win on 2025-11-29?this page
- Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Kayserispor end in a draw?No won
- Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2025-11-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.