Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f6c43338d31428fac94eb871bdf5f517c6bbbb251a4d0f4d1fc8cd10d448760
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 42c | 699.99$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Over | 57c | 644.78$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.2 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Over | 57c | 499.82$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.92 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Under | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 569 | 49.4%281 W · 288 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf67…6842backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 31.1%37 W · 82 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Over | 58c | 215.51$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.51 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 43c | 185.04$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.27 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 40c | 145.95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcae…8b25backed Over | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…a2bebacked Over | 60c | 94.15$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…27d9backed Over | 60c | 89.34$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 396 | 52%206 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Under | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 45c | 57.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Under | 45c | 57.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Over | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…5dafbacked Under | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…b07bbacked Over | 57c | 36.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 102 | 31.4%32 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…71ebbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0aa…7a60backed Under | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 42c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?this page
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.