Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2f234e37b69dcceb5a0515f598ccd5919dcd9e8f252b7c47c8524a127a08e64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, Movistar KOI
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Movistar KOI | 61c | 3,892$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,374.09 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 2,103$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.15 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Karmine Corp | 40c | 2,079$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.64 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Movistar KOI | 61c | 2,049$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.82 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Karmine Corp | 64c | 1,105$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.85 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8a…bbf4backed Karmine Corp | 39c | 1,099$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.21 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabd3…6635backed Karmine Corp | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.64 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Karmine Corp | 40c | 1,000$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.37 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Karmine Corp | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Movistar KOI | 65c | 1,000$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.43 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Movistar KOI | 60c | 973.48$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.09 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Movistar KOI | 62c | 931.66$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.25 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Karmine Corp | 39c | 888$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.68 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Karmine Corp | 40c | 649.94$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.97 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Movistar KOI | 61c | 570.81$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.19 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Karmine Corp | 39c | 529.99$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.29 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Karmine Corp | 38c | 414.41$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.94 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Movistar KOI | 51c | 320.66$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.37 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Karmine Corp | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…63fcbacked Karmine Corp | 38c | 299.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Movistar KOI | 10c | 294.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 231 | 36.4%84 W · 147 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Movistar KOI | 62c | 230$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.6 | 287 | 46%132 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Movistar KOI | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.93 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Movistar KOI | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 326 | 50.3%164 W · 162 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Movistar KOI | 60c | 158.56$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.14 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Karmine Corp | 42c | 153.17$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.97 | 264 | 43.6%115 W · 149 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Movistar KOI | 51c | 149.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.64 | 347 | 42.1%146 W · 201 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Karmine Corp | 38c | 130$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Movistar KOI | 10c | 104.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 406 | 37.7%153 W · 253 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Movistar KOI | 56c | 103.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Karmine Corp | 43c | 102.93$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 405 | 46.2%187 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Karmine Corp | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 923 | 54.3%501 W · 422 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Movistar KOI | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.65 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d28…0d64backed Movistar KOI | 60c | 99.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.34 | 151 | 43.7%66 W · 85 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Karmine Corp | 38c | 98.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 325 | 55.7%181 W · 144 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Movistar KOI | 34c | 94.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 324 | 42%136 W · 188 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…27d9backed Movistar KOI | 62c | 84.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 396 | 52%206 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Movistar KOI | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Movistar KOI | 65c | 73.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 385 | 55.1%212 W · 173 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Movistar KOI | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Movistar KOI | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Karmine Corp | 66c | 53.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 386 | 55.2%213 W · 173 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…55d7backed Karmine Corp | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18c0…e808backed Karmine Corp | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed Movistar KOI | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x297d…6d63backed Movistar KOI | 60c | 39.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Karmine Corp | 66c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Movistar KOI | 58c | 35.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5423…8b45backed Karmine Corp | 42c | 35.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe332…d5e9backed Movistar KOI | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 306 | 66.3%203 W · 103 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…8332backed Movistar KOI | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Karmine Corp | 63c | 21.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Movistar KOI | 65c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…74babacked Movistar KOI | 75c | 18.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Movistar KOI | 61c | 17.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.