Tennis · resolved market
ITF W35 Verbier Women: Ana Grubor vs Federica Trevisan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f9383f22316a781ee895859c398c26e30157430dd1d6ef9ffdd6f67921dca06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ana Gruborof Ana Grubor, Federica Trevisan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ana Grubor | 36c | 3,981$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.98 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Federica Trevisan | 70c | 2,572$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 1,742 | 50.2%875 W · 867 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Federica Trevisan | 70c | 1,036$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.71 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Ana Grubor | 76c | 394$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.56 | 1,927 | 55.4%1,068 W · 859 L | -43.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Ana Grubor | 45c | 351.89$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.54 | 7,129 | 39.7%2,832 W · 4,297 L | -14.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Federica Trevisan | 68c | 294$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Ana Grubor | 40c | 234.68$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Federica Trevisan | 55c | 222$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.05 | 869 | 47.9%416 W · 453 L | +31.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Ana Grubor | 31c | 220.94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.92 | 1,316 | 39%513 W · 803 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Federica Trevisan | 71c | 195.63$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.9 | 1,788 | 48.8%872 W · 916 L | +31.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Federica Trevisan | 33c | 163.07$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 656 | 37.5%246 W · 410 L | -33.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Ana Grubor | 50c | 153.38$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.53 | 3,749 | 42.5%1,594 W · 2,155 L | -44.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Federica Trevisan | 57c | 123.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.28 | 326 | 45.1%147 W · 179 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Federica Trevisan | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 439 | 64.7%284 W · 155 L | +24.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Federica Trevisan | 60c | 56.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 4,376 | 52.3%2,290 W · 2,086 L | +67.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Federica Trevisan | 72c | 42.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 378 | 47.1%178 W · 200 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Federica Trevisan | 55c | 37.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 1,428 | 55%785 W · 643 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Federica Trevisan | 71c | 31.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 425 | 46.4%197 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Federica Trevisan | 71c | 31.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 913 | 41.4%378 W · 535 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ana Grubor | 38c | 28.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 8,834 | 42.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L | -169.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…865bbacked Federica Trevisan | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Federica Trevisan | 71c | 27.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 361 | 56.8%205 W · 156 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Federica Trevisan | 68c | 20.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 381 | 41.2%157 W · 224 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ana Grubor | 74c | 14.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 6,798 | 36.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.