Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Hradec Králové win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f94c955ffb9cb0b9eea90931616e50768c2a89f795e4a7af51a92fcc9d7a819
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 19c | 4,897$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.47 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 16c | 4,296$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.55 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 19c | 2,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,749$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 6c | 1,346$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 20c | 1,285$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.02 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…5390backed Yes | 20c | 878.73$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.94 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 20c | 599.32$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.69 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 19c | 501.21$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 13c | 462.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 16c | 344.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 20c | 293.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 32c | 280.01$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.59 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed No | 77c | 260$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…5d2ebacked No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 21%17 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…35d6backed Yes | 19c | 210$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 21c | 208$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 24c | 184.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 159.04$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 20c | 143.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…b8e1backed Yes | 21c | 137.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 16c | 126.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeca…a1b7backed No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 80c | 124$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 80c | 98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 22c | 91.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Yes | 22c | 74.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 15c | 71.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 76c | 69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 24c | 69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 77c | 68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 80c | 62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 80c | 55.06$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 27c | 54.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Yes | 35c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…04fcbacked No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…743ebacked No | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed No | 76c | 13.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…51c1backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Hradec Králové win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-06?Yes won
- Will FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.