Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c201aa0cb8d5d4e089bd6ef1e11ebd0628f9def1d8a3984deb0f836cea8ab64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 27c | 7,500$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 48c | 7,153$3,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,749.56 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 4,883$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.82 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 53c | 3,347$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.5 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 37c | 3,134$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.72 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 75c | 1,339$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.04 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed No | 73c | 1,200$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 76c | 1,111$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.37 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 1,027$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.29 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 74c | 770.5$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.33 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 707.5$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.02 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 493.04$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.12 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 19c | 445$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.55 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 59c | 347.85$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.23 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 342$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 50c | 340.03$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.57 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 51c | 303.57$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.53 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 75c | 303.5$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 42c | 287.49$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 54c | 280$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.05 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 40c | 267.13$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.83 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 73c | 245$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 73c | 242.31$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.42 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 47c | 174.09$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.27 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 173.87$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.94 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed Yes | 25c | 148.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f4…d4b0backed Yes | 56c | 133.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 45c | 126.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.82 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 27c | 110$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 54c | 107.18$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 52c | 105.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…f642backed No | 60c | 99.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 26c | 99.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 24c | 88.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 43c | 82.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked No | 55c | 80.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 59c | 75.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 49c | 75.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 52c | 69.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 52c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 25c | 61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Yes | 51c | 48.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 74c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked No | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 60c | 36.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 52c | 24.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed Yes | 64c | 23.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 70cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 74c | 23.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 48c | 21.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Hradec Králové vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?this page
- Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-06?Yes won
- Will FC Hradec Králové win on 2026-08-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.