CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Team Novaq (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fa8913b49fc02fb464f97dea5bac85ff47c7f674b44ecb87ca5b35123d0ea2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MANA eSportsof MANA eSports, Team Novaq
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,639 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f72…a8dbbacked MANA eSports | 44c | 2,540$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6c…1f0ebacked Team Novaq | 56c | 2,540$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Novaq | 55c | 1,879$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.96 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked MANA eSports | 44c | 1,269$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.62 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0e…13aabacked Team Novaq | 13c | 1,229$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.2 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -19.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Novaq | 48c | 445.15$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.18 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed MANA eSports | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MANA eSports | 46c | 398.01$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.75 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed MANA eSports | 42c | 350$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.07 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MANA eSports | 58c | 311.59$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.11 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Novaq | 56c | 258.31$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.57 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Team Novaq | 57c | 234.35$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.58 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed MANA eSports | 48c | 208.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.93 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Team Novaq | 54c | 207.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.39 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Team Novaq | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked MANA eSports | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Team Novaq | 54c | 184.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd955…49c0backed MANA eSports | 48c | 184$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked MANA eSports | 42c | 178.8$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.43 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Novaq | 58c | 177.63$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.03 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed Team Novaq | 54c | 158.62$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.37 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5f…d393backed MANA eSports | 41c | 157.32$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.82 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed MANA eSports | 42c | 156.16$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.16 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed MANA eSports | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb062…4e72backed MANA eSports | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Team Novaq | 61c | 146.6$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.14 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed MANA eSports | 46c | 120.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.93 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Novaq | 58c | 118.95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed MANA eSports | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked MANA eSports | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked MANA eSports | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf6…b779backed MANA eSports | 43c | 99.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…6885backed Team Novaq | 57c | 81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Team Novaq | 52c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Novaq | 37c | 67.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Novaq | 57c | 67.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Novaq | 52c | 66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked MANA eSports | 45c | 63.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Team Novaq | 57c | 62.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d87fbacked Team Novaq | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed MANA eSports | 46c | 55.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed MANA eSports | 45c | 51.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Team Novaq | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed MANA eSports | 43c | 46.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Team Novaq | 50c | 43.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…dfc4backed Team Novaq | 52c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e58…732bbacked Team Novaq | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed MANA eSports | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe758…c5afbacked Team Novaq | 59c | 34.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked MANA eSports | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Team Novaq | 58c | 29.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed MANA eSports | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MANA eSports | 43c | 27.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…7b85backed Team Novaq | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…1ad9backed MANA eSports | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d54…50b2backed Team Novaq | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…7a95backed Team Novaq | 59c | 21.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | -14.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d82…72febacked Team Novaq | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…b390backed Team Novaq | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed MANA eSports | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Team Novaq (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-Inthis page
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Team Novaq - Map 1 WinnerMANA eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.