Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs Pixel Lumina (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fb08beb299727f12243cc56eba81adb5fe2a08ddf66dba4ae720d032a9f6e6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UCAM Esports Clubof UCAM Esports Club, Pixel Lumina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,907 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked UCAM Esports Club | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Pixel Lumina | 33c | 954.16$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.54 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Pixel Lumina | 37c | 669.6$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.82 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pixel Lumina | 33c | 597$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.13 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Pixel Lumina | 9c | 534.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…2317backed UCAM Esports Club | 64c | 451.03$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.91 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed UCAM Esports Club | 79c | 378.95$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Pixel Lumina | 14c | 255$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Pixel Lumina | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed UCAM Esports Club | 78c | 171$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed UCAM Esports Club | 66c | 134.94$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Pixel Lumina | 11c | 131.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Pixel Lumina | 15c | 119.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb9…cb5dbacked UCAM Esports Club | 69c | 111.58$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd74…76b9backed UCAM Esports Club | 65c | 106.45$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked UCAM Esports Club | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked UCAM Esports Club | 67c | 98.44$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Pixel Lumina | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Pixel Lumina | 32c | 74.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Pixel Lumina | 34c | 72.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Pixel Lumina | 32c | 69.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed UCAM Esports Club | 66c | 63.1$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Pixel Lumina | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Pixel Lumina | 34c | 51.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed UCAM Esports Club | 69c | 50.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed UCAM Esports Club | 63c | 43.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pixel Lumina | 36c | 39.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed UCAM Esports Club | 65c | 30.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18c…63dabacked UCAM Esports Club | 67c | 27.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked UCAM Esports Club | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed UCAM Esports Club | 68c | 20.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked UCAM Esports Club | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed UCAM Esports Club | 69c | 18.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs Pixel Lumina (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group Cthis page
- Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs Pixel Lumina - Map 1 WinnerUCAM Esports Club won
- Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs Pixel Lumina - Map 2 WinnerUCAM Esports Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.