College Football · resolved market
UL Monroe vs. UTEP
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fdf54ae35e6aa90a0d67d12ef4c69f41ff2e43ef3d4a5b7d155abc806384135
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UL Monroeof UL Monroe, UTEP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked UTEP | 9c | 31,036$2,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760.95 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked UTEP | 3c | 1,894$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked UTEP | 1c | 1,619$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked UL Monroe | 31c | 1,049$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.1 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked UTEP | 73c | 976$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.48 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked UL Monroe | 32c | 807$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.76 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked UL Monroe | 80c | 624.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed UTEP | 66c | 549$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.85 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed UL Monroe | 29c | 485.05$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.39 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed UTEP | 70c | 453.46$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.42 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked UTEP | 69c | 400$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked UL Monroe | 28c | 246.7$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.06 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked UTEP | 41c | 207$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.42 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked UL Monroe | 31c | 200.57$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.39 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed UTEP | 31c | 158.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed UL Monroe | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed UTEP | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked UL Monroe | 34c | 145$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…462bbacked UTEP | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed UL Monroe | 75c | 133.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5f…9d4bbacked UTEP | 17c | 115.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked UL Monroe | 30c | 105$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed UL Monroe | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed UTEP | 68c | 97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c3…cc1ebacked UTEP | 69c | 69.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed UTEP | 22c | 67.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 24cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked UTEP | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…b5c7backed UL Monroe | 35c | 49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed UL Monroe | 29c | 36.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.