Tennis · resolved market
ITF Gyula: Kolos Kincses vs Filip Drab
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fe12b38aa9704bc6551fd3e91fed381ad7a696317f3a31ecba697d880bad2d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Filip Drabof Kolos Kincses, Filip Drab
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Kolos Kincses | 2c | 29,908$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.38 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Kolos Kincses | 67c | 1,107$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.89 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +8.1wins | +0.30per pick | 40cpaid | +222.2%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Filip Drab | 72c | 499.45$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.63 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Filip Drab | 75c | 423$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.75 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Filip Drab | 55c | 352.18$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.75 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Kolos Kincses | 21c | 325$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | +17.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Filip Drab | 44c | 244.86$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.09 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Filip Drab | 61c | 161.75$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.78 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Filip Drab | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kolos Kincses | 19c | 144.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Filip Drab | 30c | 126.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Kolos Kincses | 54c | 105.26$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Filip Drab | 63c | 104.57$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 199 | 41.7%83 W · 116 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Filip Drab | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Filip Drab | 46c | 84.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Kolos Kincses | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Kolos Kincses | 59c | 75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Filip Drab | 45c | 74.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Filip Drab | 49c | 74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Filip Drab | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Filip Drab | 79c | 57.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kolos Kincses | 50c | 51.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Filip Drab | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d70…ae13backed Kolos Kincses | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Filip Drab | 41c | 24.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Filip Drab | 55c | 21.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Filip Drab | 48c | 21.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Filip Drab | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.